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The lead in the AP poll though is tenuous at best. The unofficial BCS standings could be different as well.
I will give you that Texas will take a definitive lead if they can survive the gauntlet they have the next three weeks. Penn State has a better team in Ohio State then Alabama has in those three weeks and may close some ground.
After then it is off the the races, or losses, for Alabama.
Notre Dame got a point or two in each poll.
LOL, sorry, I don't care, I just love riling people up about the Irish. :)
Tenn got destroyed out west and Ark got killed in Austin, I'd like to see more B-12 vs SEC games in the future, maybe the Tide can make it to the Cotton Bowl and face a B-12 team, that would be good, then you can talk noise.
The Horns have future dates with Ole Miss, UCLA and Ark
I hadnt looked at Bama's future schedule but lately UL Monroe,Tulane, tell Saban to schedule OU again that was a good one
Hookem-Horns
USC? They lost to a 3-3 Oregon State. The have an impressive win over Ohio State but other than that they have simply managed to run up the score a few times against teams they are expected to beat.
Which brings us to that impressive win over Ohio State...
6-1 with their best performance a 3 point win over Wisconsin. Since a 3 point win over Fresno State Wisconsin has won 3 straight to bring them to 3-3. Ohio State is over rated.
Ohio State should either earn their rank or get knocked down to reality in the next couple of weeks. USC has no real tests left. If they drop another game I think the love affair will be over.
They still have to play MSU on the road before that.
get recognition out of beating the hell out of teams a local high school can beat ? Do you mean like Arkansas( SEC) 52-10 or Rice 52-10 a team that hung with Vanderbilt (SEC)or Colorado. Show me that high school team. Respect the teams like OK State & Texas Tech- heck we play those teams every year we respect them alot.- your post doesnt make any sense.
Colt McCoy is a horrible QB ? Do What? You seen any games? I guess not
The B-12 south division has 4 teams in the top ten nationally, will any excape unbeaten:? That remains to be seen, its early in the season.
I would love to see a Alabama vs Texas game,maybe that can happen
I would prefer to see Alabama #1 myself- who knows right now PSU ?? OK St??
Whatever you just got to prepare every week and do your best against your opponent all that other crap rankings etc etc will take care of itself
Hookem-Horns
1 Tx
2 Penn St
3 OK St
4 AL
5 FL
6 OK
7 BYU
8 USC
9 UT
10 Boisie St
Call me nuts, if you will; you won't be the 1st or the last.
Ours is not the only conference playing football, just like the SEC isn't comprised of just Alabama, Tennessee, LSU and Florida. But if you listened to the media, you'd think so. A tradition of winning doesn't hurt Alabama, just like it doesn't hurt Texas, SoCal, and OU. I don't know what your gripe is about since Alabama is ranked #2 - Give it time, if you think Texas is underserving, then the'll eventually lose over the course of the next three games.
#2 NO MORE!
Alabama is the only strong team left...
LSU needs to focus on shoring up the defense and rededicating themselves as a team to the running game next Saturday at South Carolina.
We need to go back to basics this week, stop reading press-clippings, and focus on the task at hand...
i agree about the running game I would like to see charles get the ball more on O
i really think that les will have them QUIET and ready to play against SC.......
I think the ranking can play to our advantage in two weekss...it has been a while since wqe have been an underdog at home, much less out of the top ten. All of that said, i dont thinkthey need to over look the Gamecocks either
You don't remember the days of a 5-6 Auburn team coming in and throwing for 246 on us, do you?
Our secondary in 2001-a year in which we won a conference championship and a BCS Bowl-was part of the worst defense in LSU History...
That's right, statistically speaking, the 2000 & 2001 season were the two worst defenses in modern LSU Football history...
This defense is far better than they are so far...
How old are you, JB?
Friend...I have seen some SH!TTY defenses in Tiger Stadium in the past decade...The last two years of the DiNardon't Era were especially reprehensible...
Welcome back Dude, been holding down the fort for weeks against half a dozen or so Sooners.
Did yall get the Arkansas & Colorado games up there, I realize now that alot of games like UTEP & Rice were regional broadcast, living down here the only game not televised was the FAU game, we attended that one
Hookem-Horns
First, we gave up 51 points...
Second, we gave 50 up in 3 overtimes...and we gave up 14 points in the 1st two with a touchdown apiece, and then we gave up 8 points in the final OT stanza...
Same thing in Lexington, as well...
But, like I said...Our focus needs to be on South Carolina...Nothing but Columbia...
Where is the TE we have come to know? Keep talking trash bro' because the Tigers proved last year that anything can happen. I like your back to the basics theory too.
GO DAWGS!
I think LSU got exposed and were rated too highly based on their accomplishments last season. The haven't had a quality win all season, as Auburn was clearly over rated as well. I think Auburn MUST win in Morgantown in two weeks to really be taken seriously again this season.
The Coastal Division of the ACC seems like a three team race among VT, UNC, and GT. I'm excited to see how that turns out. Wake Forest looks good in the Atlantic, but FSU has a chance if they can get a couple breaks.
I'm interested to see how MSU fares hosting Ohio State this coming weekend. My Bears beat them in Berkeley, but many teams are gelling in a way much different than in the beginning of the season. A win over Ohio State will legitimize them as true contenders for the Big Ten.
I think my Golden Bears haven't really earned their ranking yet, as that loss at Maryland is pretty inexcusable. Since the Pac 10 looks weak due to so many injuries, Cal has to beat USC to truly be considered a top tier team. I do think that Cal is better than Pitt though, especially when Jahvid Best is in the game.
Just some thoughts...
then about a 60% chance we'll beat florida in atlanta.
then about a 65% chance we'll beat Texas in miami.
that means there's a 13.4687124% chance Nick Saban will be holding the BCS crystal football come January without a loss.
In order for Tex to advance, they would have to win 7 more
5 against ranked teams- odds are heavily stacked against them
right now looks like, the next 3 could go either way, so what are the odds?
Missu & OK State at home TTech & KU on the road BU could be a spoiler- never know
Texas A&M in state rival- always give 100% then a 12 champ game if they make it that far against Missu or KU again!!
Thanks Tomcat
i do, however, like statistics. but im not a stats major either.
but, im gonna take a break from my math homework to give you your chances.
i have come up with this:
43.943328% chance that Texas will win out
then a 65% chance Texas will win the rematch with Missouri
then a 35% chance Texas will beat Alabama in Miami
means there is a 9.99710712% chance Mack Brown will be holding the BCS crystal without a loss.
I recommend seeking help IMMEDIATELY before it is too late...
Using your numbers though...
Alabama winning out: 34.5%
Texas winning out: 43.9%
Alabama beats texas: 0.65%
Implies
Chance Alabama Meets Texas in Miami: 15.1% (.345*.439*100%)
Chance Alabama beats Texas in Miami: 9.8% (.345*.439*.65*100%)
Chance Texas beats Alabama in Miami: 5.3% (.345*.439*.35*100%)
I think your chances for Texas are a little high. I get 24.8% before the Big 12 championship and 14.9% after. With a loss by Penn State and USC, Texas and/or Alabama could drop a close one and still meet, increasing the odds above.
For the record: This is probability and combinatorics, strongly in the realm of math. Statistics is much more dry, more like accounting with an error estimate. Give me a standard deviation for your probability estimates and I will agree this is statistics.
i just used the basic principle that winning one coin toss = 50%
winning two coin tosses = 25%
but i learned that in Algebra III/Stats
haha and don't critique me on my predictions. you predicted auburn had the best chance of going undefeated in the SEC.
and im not gonna seek help until i know what that stuff in the parentheses means.
Alabama's stock has likewise gone up significantly.
And I never think any team in the SEC has a better than 7.5% chance to go undefeated any given year. Maybe USC can get up to 20%, but even that favors a loss or two along the way.
there is a 2.178% chance the cocks will win out.
okay. back to math............
BOOMER!
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
You don't say?
caught your attention huh?
Couldn't miss it. I thought that maybe you had a thought - and suddenly realized that you didn't. Is that even possible? What's your take on the Mississippi game? It's about time for Bama to rest on their laurel's - don't you think? Don't answer the latter part. With all these top teams goin' to sleep - maybe Bama could slip up also?
Oh, and BTW, how's your girlfriend's Daddy's portfolio been doing? You know that your future depends on it, right? You don't think that "the Old Man" might be having reservations about investing in another "bad investment", do you? Well, fortunately, the stocks have rebounded today. That might delay "the decision" for awhile......
2. Polls are a total joke no matter which one you look at.
3. ESPN and other entities decide who is number 1 in the nation by telling the general audiences. (see #4)
4. The general audience is ignorant. They only say what they hear, not what they know.
5. The SEC will once again show why its teams are the most talented and best coached in the nation come Championship time.
6. The SEC will never get respect from ESPN or the polls until National Championship time.
7. Go DAWGS!!!!!
119 Div-1A college football programs thats 107 teams that do not belong to the SEC
#6 on the contrary SEC gets alot of acolades from the press and Media
BTW the polls had UGa as #1 at one time if I recall correctly
#4 the general audience is ignorant- are you part of the general audience ?
#2 at this point in the season, polls dont mean much, give it a few weeks and it will look alot different, hate to say it but in the B-12 and SEC teams are going to whup each other and those boys from the PAC-10 and B-10/11 are smiling and licking their chops watching the B-12 whup each other,as the best teams in the country face the toughest competition and a similar situation exist in the SEC
Adios Tomcat
Texas wins out..
Oklahoma wins out...
Alabama loses one..
Penn State loses one..
Would this be a BCS nightmare ?????
No disrespect to your team on this. But, I think I know where your going. This is the BCS nightmare: that Oklahoma wins out! Seriously, Texas would have to lose twice before Oklahoma gets into the Big 12 Championship game. Therefore, Oklahoma could win out, not even play in the Big 12 Championship, and get invited to play for the National Championship. This is a very real possibility - as Oklahoma did not drop very far in the polls. I, personally don't have much to bitch about, as the PAC doesn't play a Conference Championship. But, I know that many others will definately question that. Furthermore, Oklahoma could even end up ranked # 1, and not play in the Big 12 Championship. This is gonna cause a major problem. Therefore, for the sake of the BCS system, you'd better hope that the Sooners lose at least one more. LOL!
If Florida and USC lose one also, A RRR rematch would be guaranteed.
The most likely BCS scenario (Penn State vs Alabama) has about a 7% chance of happening, by my reckoning. It is WAY to early to say what will happen, but never too early to dream about what MAY happen!
GO GATORS!!
No offense TG, my dyslexic brother.
BTW, did you hear about the suicidal dyslexic? He threw himself behind the bus!
DYSLEXICS OF THE WORLD...UNTIE !
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
GO GATORS!!
It was a bad joke. Never happen again, I promise.
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
One thing I found interseting about the UT vs OU game- thats probably the first game all season that the first string for both teams played four quarters, because both teams have whuped their opponents
Good luck con los fighting Manginos
It wasn't a reference to this week's game--OU had a respectable showing, this week. It was a reference to past flops. I'd direct you to my reply to OU Ron, but I'm not sure where it is--I think it went down to the bottom (can't make it stick where it belongs).
b/t/w: Gators ain't "plum giddy" over win v. LSU. We're duly satisfied, but we know there's a lot of FB ahead of us, and for all the talk of Texas' guantlet,UF's schedule ain't exactly a walk in the park: v. UGA, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vandy, and FSU. Granted, UGA isn't looking as tough as before the season, but Kentucky, Vandy, USC and FSU are ALL tough games. We ain't takin' anything for granted.
GO GATORS!!
These leagues B-12 and SEC are loaded with really good teams and your right that there is alot of CFB to be played.
Who woulda ever thought a two loss team would play in the MNC game?
Half way through the season is way too early to start talking Nat champ senerios bout whos in out whatever, have to take care of each opponent and I hope the UT boys can focus and not get too cocky/overconfident, because every team labeled #1 goes down week after week.
Too bad that Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State is not early in the season like last year- 07 OK St over TTech TTech over OU OU over OK St
sound familiar-kinda like yalls league
Adios Tomcat
Hookem-Horns
Touchy subject, huh? LOL!
"...your point would be better taken if Florida and OU would have played each other in the last several years..."
OU didn't need to get pasted by UF to become established as a choker. OU's flops against LSU, USC (blow out), Boise State and WVU measure up nicely against tOSU's back to back NC face plants--no need to dabble in hypotheticals to establish a hypothetical.
"...I'll just shit can your point just like i do with the rest of your smart ass remarks..."
In case you haven't figured it out, this is a blog. It's all one big shit can, so I'm sure my posts will be in fine company--along with yours.
GO GATORS!!
Again--the comment was in reference to the BOWLS--not the Texas game--because this thread is about the BCS--not the AP rankings; in fact, YOUR POST, to which I replied--was about OU finishing in the NC.
As for comments re. the Ol Miss game--I'd happily welcome them, but I'm pretty sure that the reason no OSU or OU fan has made any comments, is because they knew they'd be eating them.
Frankly I don't know or care what you do with my comments, but judging from how worked up you're getting over them, I ain't buying the "shit can" bit. You obviously take this stuff WAY TOO SERIOUSLY--so I'll just keep pok'n, then sit back and read your angry posts about how little you care about mine--LMAO!!!
BOOMER dude!
GO GATORS!!
Touchy subject, huh?
OU's flops v. LSU, USC (blow out), Boise State and WVU measure up nicely against tOSU's back to back NC face plants--no need to deal in hypotheticals (UF pasting OU) to establish one.
GO GATORS!!
right now looks like PSU & Bama have the best chance to make it
Why in the world isnt OK state higher? they show no weakness-undefeated
BTW BU whuped IA st big time they could be a spoiler in a few games for B-12 opponents
McCoy is only completing 79.2 % of his passes- think Miller DE dropped is one and only pass for his career
Texas D gave up 35 points to OU, but only 48 rushing yards
OK state picked off Daniel 3 times last week, winning the TO battle & the game
Here again Texas needs to win the TO battle
Kindle #2 has new position not LB anymore DPR desginated pass rusher
Daneil will have to fire fast because they are going put heat on him-
Kicking game edge- Texas 7 outa 7 field goals 100%
Home Feild 93,000 plus, they wont be able to hear anything-edge Texas
here again looks tough- the Horns will have to win the takeaways and limit mistakes penalties, turnovers, blown coverages to get the W
Hookem-Horns
BTW Pinkle is 0-3 vs Brown
All that aside, I understand your frustration, but Georgia is just going to have to wait it out and hope everyone forgets witnessing the proverbial murdering of its NC hopes on national television.
Here's how: UGA was emasculated by Alabama--on national television, when it was supposed to show its stuff. Florida lost an off the radar, intra-conference squeaker fluke--then turned around and emasculated the reigning national champs.
You see? It's a simple matter of who still has their nut sacks intact, and who has anything left in 'em. In other words...
....the 'dawgs dun bin fixed.
That's how.
GO GATORS!!
I'm always amazed at how easily, the proverbial "off the radar, intra-conference squeaker fluke", goes over in the SEC. Somehow, it just seems okay when it happens in the SEC. Not that I disagree with anything you've said - cause we all know that "Mississippi plays in the SEC". Therefore they are definately one of the Top Ten teams in the country.
Tex> Ark>Aub>Miss St> Vanderbilt> Ole Miss>Fla > LSU
"LSU, good defense or bad defense, does not deserve to be anywhere near the National Championship game after being annhilated, emasculated, embarrased by Florida last weekened... you guys need to keep Jean-Francois' mouth shut, sew it up or something, because he became a national punchline.... now, I am a Texas fan, and at this point, they deserve #1, but at least I am realistic, because I don't think they will survive the gauntlet of Mizzou, OK State, Texas Tech, Baylor(hopefully somewhat of a break), and Kansas, and if you SEC fans think that you have the best conference in football, by all means, go ahead, but be careful about what you say, because look at the Big 12- 4 teams in the top ten, 6 teams in the top 25, and it's not because these teams lost to unranked teams or got emasculated, annhillated, whatever.... OU lost to TX in probably the most exciting game in that rivalry, OK State was able to show up on defense to take a 5 point, exciting win over Mizzou..... so learn the facts and maybe, just maybe once, watch what you say because you may be eating those words at some point"
now, I am a Texas fan, and at this point, they deserve #1, but at least I am realistic, because I don't think they will survive the gauntlet of Mizzou, OK State, Texas Tech, Baylor(hopefully somewhat of a break), and Kansas, and if you SEC fans think that you have the best conference in football, by all means, go ahead, but be careful about what you say, because look at the Big 12- 4 teams in the top ten, 6 teams in the top 25, and it's not because these teams lost to unranked teams or got emasculated, annhillated, whatever....
Whew! That took forever to retype that...
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
Really...
I was just about to maybe agree with "Big Nikki" - but you've clearly changed my mind. As many of you can see, our friend the Observer, has clearly indicated who might be "the most ignorant fan". Unmask that masked man!
By this construct bignick is more than qualified to determine how ignorant SEC fans are, as your evidence clearly points out.
I hear that everything in Texas is BIG - except for your Johnson and your brain. Is any of that true? Tell us all about it? You drive a Big Ol' Truck, stand about 5'1 and weigh in at about 125 soak and wet? Still live with momma?
Thanx for not. But, I needed a good laugh and was hopin' that he would "expose himself". Sadly, he didn't bite...
Glad that you slipped that one in. What we need is more "original thinkers" like yourself. Great post!
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
What? I'm dead serious. We just don't get enough of that out here. LMAO! This stuff is just comical. I am warming up to the idea that we probably are overrated though, I mean, everybody says so.
I can clearly see how the team with the best overall record over the last 6 1/2 season, with the best record against all OOC opposition, and having beat all those teams by the largest scoring margin - is clearly overrated. Add in that they have won the most BCS Bowl games (by the largest margins of victory), and beaten the most Top 25 teams over that time span, and it becomes crystal clear. It's practically a slam dunk. Heck, they only have one "Crystal Ball". That's proof enough! I'm sold.
Washington next year then West Virginia following that.
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
You think they'll still have White and Devine then???
Well, if you just want to "go on vacation", those are some pretty good spots. The fishing is pretty good up there on the Columbia River. The scenery is beautiful also. But, if you were lookin' for a football game, I doubt if your gonna find one in the state of Washington. I'm kinda with WEA on the West Virginia thing also. Pat White is gonna be gone for sure. LSU will pound that team back into the stoneage. So, I hope that there is something else better to do in West Virginia. I hear that those "hillbilly women" are alot of fun, but while watching a Marshall game, I couldn't help but notice how dayum ugly they all really were. Obviously, you boyz are gonna have to be real careful, not to make their fathers and brothers too upset while your all up there. Watch out for birdshot...
And I honestly didn't give any thought to White or Devine being there, though I should've. That definitely changes the landscape of things, unless they have someone waiting in the wings who can step up. The same scenario bit us on the azz a few years back with Arizona St. As far as Washington, I know, I know...they're not exactly mowing down the competition. Looks like Ty is probably gonna be looking for new gig soon so they'll be rebuilding (or maybe building, period). If Kiffin lands that job...and I don't know why he'd want to...he'll get 'em turned around, but not in one year. I heard his name mentioned with Washington and 'Cuse so who knows where he's going. Personally, I'd love to see him at Clemson just so I could watch them play. I get a few of their games a year and I always enjoy watching the maturation of a program under a new coach.
Concerning vacation spots and West Virginia, nah..don't see that happening but I get the jist of where you were heading with that. For some odd reason, the dueling banjo song comes to mind everytime I hear the word Virginia. However, I do visit Myrtle Beach once a year to play in a golf tournament. It's always a blast. The golf is top notch and we party hard at a few places in the pm. Shucker's and Marty's immediately come to mind.
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
I get the "country roads" theme from John Denver pop into my melon. I try and stay away from the dueling banjos thing, as everytime that melody blasts thru my brain, somebody close by ends up "squeelin' like a pig". LOL! I'm trying to rehabilitate.
Oh, I remember that LSU did travel to Arizona State. There is simply more money to be had in the South. That's about it. I don't consider that LSU is one of them teams that tries to duck competition. There is a fine line now with that BCS system. You have to schedule just enough OOC strength - in order to pull it off at the end. LSU has taken on Virginia Tech last year, Fresno State and some others. They have tried to keep that upwards.
Kiffen could end up at Washington. Wouldn't be a bad gig for him. He might even come in 2nd. So, it wouldn't really surprise me if he pulls the trigger on that one. Yep, it'll take awhile though. But, they do have some pretty good players up there. The state of Washington does produce some really good 5-star players. Just not enough of them. If he could keep them all in state, while grabbing up some of the table scraps in Los Angeles, he could rebuild that program. I know that he'd be better off at Clemson - but I think that he'll probably land in Washington for awhile.
GO DAWGS!!