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I know you're an FSU fan, and don't care for Clemson much, but if it were up to you, and you were the guy to realistically hire a new coach that is the best for Clemson, who would you pick?
Thirdly, there's the success (or lack of, as it were) factor of NFL coaches going to the college ranks. On that basis alone, I'm not certain hiring either Kiffin is a good move. JMO.
http://www.thestate.com/tigers/story/589305.htm...
Now, the question I have is, if Bud Foster came, who would be our OC? Could it be Swinney?
Additionally, a few programs come to mind, that IMO, deviated significantly from who they were, in an attempt to become something they are not, which have resulted in poor results (generously speaking).
1. Nebraska--abaondons run oriented option O and smash mouth defensive ball, for pass happy B Callahan--catastrophe....
2. Notre Dame--decades of success founded on grinding-it-out running game and stout defenses, shoots for pass happy offense...results in disaster....
3. Michigan--abandons pro-set for spread under RR--not looking good so far;
IMO, Clemson has a solid framework in place; they don't need a king maker. Their hire should be something that doesn't compromise the existing structure, but instead, runs with "the grain", so to speak.
Hence I think Lane Kiffin would be a huge mistake--Callahanesque, in fact (in fact both came from Oak Raid's); also, Venables, Brian Kelly and Brian Hoke have worked a different area of the country and aren't as well connected to the area as Foster, and IMO, represent a deviation from CU's existing structure.
Muschamp would be a solid alternative for the same reasons, but he may not be available.
My $.02
GO GATORS!!
Bud Foster does seem like the guy who could really hit the ground running. With the talent that we have on defense, I'd love to see what he could do.
Of course I cherry picked examples....it's a comment on a message board--I wasn't developing a comprehensive thesis on the topic; just siting some "cases in point" to illustrate what I was saying.
Now, as for the couterpoints--I'll restrict my comments to Urban Meyer and UF, since it is the most salient to the point I was making. The success that UF has enjoyed under Urban Meyer is is exactly the source that's motivating the the conventional wisdom to favor radical chancge over what I call "running with the grain." Even announcing the termination of coaches mid-season, rather than waiting until the season has run its course--has become the rule rather than the rare exception--IMO, largely influenced by the success that UF has enjoyed, since the hiring of Meyer. The point of my post then, was simply to suggest caution in the "radical change" mentality. If your thinking Urban Meyer and UF, think long and hard, before you pull the trigger, for a # of reasons.
1. "Urban Meyers" don't "grow on trees." To think, "...hey, we need to go and get us one of them Urban Meyers..." is siplistic, superficial and flawed, to say the least. He was special enough for 2 established FB powers--UF and Notre Dame--to expressly "clear the decks" in order to make a play for just for him. He is very rare. Other coaches may prove to be his equal and perhaps even his supperior down the road; but at the time of his hiring, he stood head and shoulders above the exisiting pool--even H&S above STEVE SPURRIER. No one is standing out like that now.
2. UF was Talent laden (loaded) when Meyer was hired, and even he had difficulty using the talent base--because his system ran against the grain of the existing talent base. He had to compromise somewhere between conforming the talent to fit his system, and adjusting his system to fit the existing talent base.... This b/t/w, his fourth year, is the first year we are seeing his system work the way it's designed to--and even that, is the beneficiary of---well, keep reading....
3. The Gators Defense carried them to that first NC--not Meyer's "revolutionery" spread O;
4. The Gators got lucky as hell in that 2nd season--3 blocked kicks alone v. South Carolina, along with a pile of other breaks...
Point being: Meyer's "radical system change" didn't yield that first NC; the existing talent base combined with his discipline, and generous serving of luck, did. Many programs seek to emulate the UF/Meyer hire--yet it was a "perfect storm"; hence emulating it is not a matter of following a playbook; UF was simply the beneficiary of a series of turns of events, and circumstances--and only then, playing their hand well.
So if your looking for fast dividends--you're better off running with the grain, than favoring radical change (i.e.--you oughtn't bank on lady luck; she's a rather fickle one...).
That's all I was saying...and I'm just one guy posting his opinion on a message board.
GO GATORS!!
Good post. You raised some great points about Meyer that I didn't realize. Your post explains why Meyer's offense has been putting up basketball scores this season-- now that he's got the kind of talent that he wants. 50+ points? It's insane. I can't wait to see the Alabama game.
Dabo Swinney has a handicap in winning the job in that he hasn't owned the team long enough to correct all of the entrenched problems with the players and the coaches. And he can't really fire and replace everyone that he might like. If he did get the job, he might be handicapped because great OCs, DCs, assistants, and recruits might be reluctant to sign on with Clemson for fear of the long term stability in the coaching staff.