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BCS non-AQ Games to watch this week:
BYU @ Washington
Texas A&M @ New Mexico
USF @ UCF
Although cheer for might not be the correct word, I would like to see BYU win.
Although the gap narrowed in Sagarin's conference ranking it had more to do with the ACC and Big East plummeting this weekend.
The Sun Belt, SEC and PAC 10 moved up the most, with the Sun Belt actually outranking all FCS conferences for the first time I can remember.
I prefer using the actual results on the field (conference vs conference matchups). I have keep a table of conference records against other conferences since 2004. The table indicates the conference record against each other conference and the cumulative record of the teams played in the year in which they were played. I don't know if that makes sense, but I'll email it to you, or maybe I'll try to post it later. Anyways it compares conferences to each other and accounts for teams playing weaksauce teams from other conferences (e.g. the Big East is 7-1 against SEC since 2004, however the winning % of those SEC teams played during that time is a mere 55%), so that record isn't as impressive. I use the table to make all my predictions like on the Yahoo group, and it worked pretty good in the first week!
Anyways I'm pretty excited after the first week of games, but we'll see if BYU doesn't muff it up in Washington (fingers crossed).
I prefer using the actual results on the field (conference vs conference matchups). I have keep a table of conference records against other conferences since 2004. The table indicates the conference record against each other conference and the cumulative record of the teams played in the year in which they were played. I don't know if that makes sense, but I'll email it to you, or maybe I'll try to post it later. Anyways it compares conferences to each other and accounts for teams playing weaksauce teams from other conferences (e.g. the Big East is 7-1 against SEC since 2004, however the winning % of those SEC teams played during that time is a mere 55%), so that record isn't as impressive. I use the table to make all my predictions like on the Yahoo group, and it worked pretty good in the first week!
Anyways I'm pretty excited after the first week of games, but we'll see if BYU doesn't muff it up in Washington (fingers crossed).
Trust me, I have my own. I even had written a ranking program while at Utah that acquired and maintained its website, only needing 30 mins per week to iron out naming conflicts of the source data.
They did not play like a FCS conference this week.
I poured the Hater-Ade. Let's see how many drink it now.
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
Whichever team comes out of that stretch at 2-0 for those games will have the SEC inside track on the BCS...
Unfortunately, that team will still have to make it through the SEC CG even if they can navigate the rest of their schedule unscathed...
I think if Florida can step up on defense and Harvin heals, they are unstoppable.
Dont play Harvin vs Miami Urban! Those Hurricanes are not the nicest guys to play against.
And I'm for at least a +1 too, while we're on the subject. It's a start, at least, to what should be an 8 team play off in my perfect world.
Geaux Tigers
Geaux SEC
Oh, thanks for the props!
BCS GURU has been around a while and has been very accurate in his projections.
He uses the AP poll until the Harris Poll becomes available. 4 of the 6 computer rankings are available. He uses the median of the College Football Comparison for the other two.
This gives a very accurate look at what the BCS poll would look like.
No he is not an SEC homer. The SEC took care of its business last week (outside of Starkville).
I don't really think we'll have an idea exactly how improved the Gator D is until Tennessee...
Maybe even LSU given the Vols performance the other nite...
Until then the Gators shouldn't even be in the top ten...
JMHO as a Gator...
Same old Gator running issues were exposed this weekend and due to Coral Gables game plan we still have NO idea if the secondary is really improved...
Still rated to high IMO...
You said "Nutt"...
maybe so but he took your hogs further than petrino ever will.
and he's going to be kicking you in the a** for a while with his ole miss team.
Arkansas = last place in the SEC this year.
dont fall for Bobby. you know when things turn south he's outta there faster than a bat outta hell.
i never understood why nobody ever gave Petrino hell.
what he did was much worse than what Saban did. Saban lied to the media in order for them to stay focused on the season, and because at the time, he had no intention to coach alabama. so it really wasnt even a concious lie in the first place.
Petrino lied to his entire organization, didnt tell anyone he was leaving, then jumped ship in the middle of the season.
he didnt even have the decency to tell his players and coaches he was leaving.
what a douche. i hope he loses every SEC game this year.
You should be greatful for Petrino; he's the only guy that makes Saban's character look decent.
GO GATORS!!
if you think no one gave Petrino hell, you must have been in outer space. Seeing that the Home Depot is a major contributor to ESPN and Gameday it should come as no surprise how one-sided everything was portrayed. The Falcons' man was just just jailed and they couldn't take any more bad publicity. Petrino became the scapegoat and Blank acted like he had no idea. Petrino didn't have a buyout clause in case he wanted to come back to the college games. Was Blank a liar or just totally ignorant? He didn't speak to the team because Blank prevented him from doing so. Some of them weren't worthy of an explanation anyway, such as one DeAngelo Hall. Speaking of Hall, his position coach in college, Lorenzo Ward, got an offer to coach here. He called up his former pupil and asked what the deal was all about. Hall basically said,"He's jerk and doesn't know what he doing." Ward replied," Maybe so but your the player, and he's still the coach. You have to respect that." After falling off of his high horse, Hall admitted he was right. By the way guess where Ward is coaching and where he went to college? Since public opinion and media relations are near the bottom of Petrino's priorities he has nothing to say about. it.
Here's another good story
http://www.dixiefriedsports.com/Media_Bashing_o...
Giving up 42 points didn't help much either.
So, I take it, there isn't too much to know yet - and Petrino isn't talkin'. I guess time will tell. Did he have any kinda decent recruiting effort - or was it just plain too late. Well, he's got the "Big Time" Pro-Style QB comin' in next year. He'll need to get some receivers to throw at though.
What do you think of UA Wildcats and their 70 point victory? Granted it was Idaho, but 70 - 0???
I think they could cause some pain this year in the Pac 10. Stoops is due...
I love how people go bonkers wondering why some teams are up there despite only beating Po-Dunk State; it doesn't matter...only people like me have a right to unyielding angst after this past weekend.
Besides, everyone, this is the BCS - Pace Yourselves.
If you remember, a few things shook up the season after a hectic week 1 last year too...
I was just talking about that with someone. If I had to pick which team is gonna beat USC from the PAC this year - it's gonna be Arizona. They always play real tough defense against us anyway. I think we only beat them 20-0 last time. Now, they have the senior QB and a great WR, and a pretty good offensive group. Yes, I would have to say that this is the most likely team to beat USC. I don't rule the Ducks out either though. They would have a shot if they could get a QB situation settled somewhat - so that whatever QB they are gonna use can get alot of game experience. Arizona most likely, followed by Oregon, and then UCLA. Those are the most likely teams to beat Southern Cal this year.
You guys looked pretty sharp against UVA.
Stanford tied for the Pac 10 lead in September at 1-0...could be an interesting year.
How about Coach RN and the Bruins Monday night? Hopefully they can keep it going, makes for great Pac-10 drama.
Jeremiah Masoli had a great game last Saturday against the Huskies coming in for Justin Roper who got his bell rung...chances are Jeremiah Masoli will start Saturday.
I do look for UCLA to be improved this year. I can see them possibly even finishing 3rd. They'll be tough on defense for sure. I don't think that they'll have enough depth to weather the grind of the whole season though. They'll lose some games.
aren't they the same team that lost to Illinois, and got destroyed in the NC game last year, but now are starting a true freshman at QB?
wait!
might it be because they have an easier schedule than the Rainbow Warriors and have a great shot at only losing one game?
who really knows what the pollsters see in them?
THE ohio state university and THE big ten are a joke.
theyll be exposed in the national spotlight against USC. i think they lose by 20+. but i also think at the end of the year theyll have one loss, and will be "looking for revenge" according to all of the talking heads.
if OSU plays in the NC game again this year, ill refuse to watch it.....unless theyre playing alabama.
OUT.
first of all, OSU doesn't start a freshman at QB..where did you hear that? They start a 6th year senior. Pryor is just a change of pace running QB with a very limited playbook.
Secondly, they are in the top 5 because 95% of coaches and pollsters put them there, people with much more experience than you. I don't know whether his rankings are published(I don't care enough to look), but I bet Nick Saban ranked OSU in the top 5.
And lastly, Alabama????? You win one game and now you jump from the "Independence Bowl" to the NC game?
And talking about OSU losing to Ill last year, didn't you guys lose to La-Monroe?
GO GATORS!!
in the past, the big ten was actually respectable.
now, theyre the worst conference in football and theyre stinking it up all over the field.
look, i give you credit for scheduling USC, im almost positive that game will be enough to keep yall out of the NC game. but it will also save your program some major embarrassment. so i think 1 loss this season would do yall a lot of good. unless you get blown out in the rose bowl, which is very likely. 41-14, Oregon???? any takers??
by the way, i never said alabama was going to the NC did i?? nope!
and im also not saying that last year's 7-6 alabama team was better than your OSU team last year, although we did put up a MUCH better fight against LSU...
OSU = a complete joke.
OUT!
Hysterical!
GO GATORS!!
"...talking about OSU losing to Ill last year, didn't you guys lose to La-Monroe?..."
You keep stepp'n right in to that one, don'cha?
Mark the spot, will you? There's a POS sitting right here--where Alabama lost to La. Monroe; that means, you, as a bammer, don't get to chide anyone about losing to ANYONE--
...not Michigan Fan for losing to App'y State...
...not Trojan Fan for losing to Stanford...
...not Auburn for losing to USF...
...not UF for losing to Michigan...
...not USC losing to Vandy....
Bama losing to La. Monroe takes the cake. So what's say you focus your comments on Bama v. X, rather than anyone else v. anyone else--you're just gonna' get that ULM mess all over your shoes again.
GO GATORS!!
That does pretty much settle it. One of my very best bud's is a "Pig Farmer" from Bama. He oozez crimson also. But, that guy couldn't tell if his shoes were stinkin' or not, on account of the barnyard that's camped out in his living room. Needless to say - all get-togethers are at somebody else's crib. That's probably why Lynyrd Skynyrd wrote the song, "Can you smell that smell"? Probably didn't have anything to do with illicit drugs. This guy isn't gonna even get a whiff of your drift.
Oregon
Wisconsin
Arizona State
South Florida
Penn State
Method:
Start with the BCS top 20.
Remove all members of BCS non-AQ conferences.
Remove the top team from each BCS AQ conference.
Select the top 2 BCS AQ conferences based on number of teams and remove all members of those conferences.
Can you elaborate on your formula...as a CFB Neophyte for the last 40 years and a 1977 UO Grad with a Math major, I'm not sure I am following your logic.
Although I admire the equation, I am just not sure where you get your criteria to be on the BCS Non AQ hit list...
Is this your version of Prathernomics or Benaculus?
Wish I would have stuck to it. Then maybe you guys might be reading about the WEA poll...
I empathize whole heartedly. Abstract Algebra was my nemisis. Had to take it 3 times and finally passed with a good solid "C." It wasn't even an upper level class. You had to pass it to get the Math degree though.
Using the AP or Coaches poll the teams would remain the same but Oregon drops between USF and Penn State.
This ranking is intended to stand opposed to the BCS AQ hit list which includes exactly all BCS non-AQ conference members in the top 20.
BCS AQ hit list:
BYU
Utah
Teams in the top 20 of a poll are within a good win of the top 14. The top 14 is the boarder for BCS eligibility.
If no non BCS team is in the top 14 the BCS AQ conferences don't lose a spot to them. Alternatively, if only two BCS AQ conferences have teams in the top 14 two spots would be open for top 14 BCS non AQ conference teams.
This list is intended to point out who most needs to lose to allow the possibility of TWO non BCS teams getting a BCS Bowl.
If people are going talk about BCS busters, why not kick it up a notch?
Your too far out there, man! We're just a bunch of dumbass fanbloggers. We can't concieve of anything too complicated. The point is: we're not smart enough to even argue your point. There is no need to try and explain the unexplainable to inbred fanbloggers. We're not here typing on this thing because we got too much sense anyway. Ron White claims, "You can't fix stupid". Ben, you just get to be right on this one - because nobody is gonna be able to refute any of it or even understand what your talkin' about. We no comprendo de communico.....
Hey, well, I'm just gonna be content in knowing that you don't think I'm crazy.
JoePa has lost control of that program. Maybe he's so old that he remembers a time when Marijuana wasn't illegal.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/...
Actually I loved watching these two games the last two Thursdays in lieu of the conventions.
it is They are not SEC powerhouses.
I am damn glad Houston Nutt is gone. He was a big fake, but the former athletic director could not understand that!