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Considering those scenarios, the SEC definitely places a second team in the BCS.
AL has Auburn left. That's it for them, before playing FL in the SEC Championship. This game will be every bit as emotional for Bama & Auburn as for FL & FSU. Like FSU, Auburn has nothing to lose; well, there is bowl eligibility. They let GA, along with a few others along the way, get away. This is one case, where-by a low-scoring game may actually favor Auburn. They have a lousier record than FSU, but I think they have a better chance at beating the Tide. Again, JMO.
Ultimately, I think FL wins out. Should Bama falter against Auburn, it won't matter, provided they beat FL in the SEC Championship. Bama would still likely meet the Big-12 Champ for the NC. Personally, I think it'll be FL that goes, but I guess we'll just have to see.
If Alabama loses to Auburn and Florida they are out of the top 14.
If Florida loses to two of the Citadel, FSU and Alabama they are out of the top 14.
You must be in the top 14 to be BCS eligible. If two of those three happen the SEC would be severely wounded. I suppose with that kind of shake up LSU could get into the top 14 with wins over Ole Miss and Arkansas.
Boise State also with a loss to Nevada or Fresno State
A win over Air Force would then keep TCU ahead of Ball State and into the top 14 and intot a BCS bowl. 2 MWC team in the BCS. One would get the ACC Champion and a win.
1) 9 wins
2) top 14 in BCS standings
A loss by USC should knock them out of the top 14. Alternatively a loss by Oregon State gives USC the PAC 10 title. Either way the PAC 10 only has one eligible team, its automatic qualifier.
A loss by Ohio State would give the Big 10 only its champion as well.
A loss by Georgia and two losses by Florida or Alabama would even eliminate a second SEC team from eligiblity.
The ACC and Big East are already eliminated from sending a second team. and the SEC and Big 12 can only send two.
Their are 5 BCS bowls involving 10 teams. If only the 6 champions and 2 at large teams are available from BCS conferences they would have to take 2 at large teams from outside conferences if they are in the top 14 before expanding to the top 18 if their are still not enough teams to fill the slots.
Undefeated Boise State would be taken over a 2 loss TCU. Indeed, a lower ranked and undefeated Ball State could get invited first if they are both in the top 14.
It is not guaranteed the BCS conferences will field enough eligible teams.
I STILL BELIEVE!!
Head to head now breaks all ties, though it takes a few iterations here and there.
Hot off the presses:
Atlantic Division:
Maryland wins if they beat FSU and Boston College loses to either Maryland or Wake Forest.
Boston College wins if they beat Maryland and Wake Forest
Wake Forest wins if they beat Boston College and FSU beats Maryland
FSU wins if:
1) they beat Maryland
2) Maryland beats Boston College
3) Boston College beats Wake Forest
Coastal Division:
VT controls their own fate.
If the VT/VA winner should lose to Duke or Clemson respectively, UNC would be next in line.
If additionally UNC should lose to Duke or NC State then Georgia Tech would win.
If Virginia beats VT and Clemson they win, unless UNC beats both Duke and NC State and Miami beats NC State. In this case Miami wins.
One of these 9 teams will be in the Orange Bowl.