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Carlos Dunlap is a beast--he will put pressure on qb's; Will Hill and Major Wright will hurt folks in the back field; but we're soft in the middle. K-shon will probably have another field day, and Florida-Georgia will probably be a shoot out (we tend to win those). Hopefully our DL will gel, as the season progresses.
Re. OU--I'm not convinced. They've flopped far too many times in big games.
It pains me to say this, but I think USC has the best chance of winning the NC. My only hope is that they are matched against SEC champ...in which case, I'd say that chance would be effectively neutralized.
GO GATORS!!
Dude haled in almost 90 balls the last two years...
That said, UF's offense will still be the class of the SEC, with Percy Harvin, Chris Rainey, Emmanual Moody, K'ston Moore, and of course, Tim Tebow. Recall, Tebow was responsible for 82% of UF's scoring last year. That is a ridiculous percentage. For better or for worse, how goes Tebow, so goes UF's offense (I hope we will be more balanced this year, but, until proven otherwise..). Hence if we lost Tebow, we'd be one big question mark; anyone else on offense can be compensated for--not necessarily replaced (CI definitely can't be replaced; he'll be compensated for with different formations involving Rainey and Harvin on the field at the same time, for example). So yeah, we'll miss CI, but we can and will function very effectively on that side of the ball, without him. Our offense will still have very little problem putting up points, controlling and moving the ball, etc.
So in the grand scheme, it doesn't change much--except that we get one more year out of CI--rather it will be deferred to next year.
GO GATORS!!
That was from ESPN...
As for the "class of the SEC"....We shall see...Your boy Tebow absolutely MUST stay healthy. He didn't last year. Tremaine Johnson absolutely blew him up late in our game, and then he got dinged again against Kentucky, and he was simply not the same...
You guys HAVE to develop a running back, because that Spread that Urine Cryer loves to use is designed-in its purest form-calls for the quarterback to be the 2nd leading rusher on the team.
Instead, he took 100 more carries than the next nearest mail-toter...and he suffered late in the year because of it...
I can say that your QUARTERBACK is the class of the SEC. Probably the most versatile threat on that side of the ball in FCS or FBS for that matter...
Outside of that...Let's just say that we've got something for you over here in Baton Rouge, and we can't wait to show it to you out there in Gainesville...
Sweet Bettina, son...talk about doin' your alma mater proud!
Usually that crap comes from some jr. high kid who stumbles along this site for the first time, and figures he's gonna' just shock us all with some clever turn of the Coach's name...
Come on, now--I expect more from the self proclaimed greatest poster ever featured on this site...
Oh...my bad....is this you doing your Jr. High "schtick"?
GO GATORS!!
Again, with Ingram gone, and Harvin having heel problems according to Meyer, the pressure's squarely on Tim's shoulders, and he NEEDS a running back badly this year...
The kid can't hold up...Defenses are going to catch up...
I really hope no one gets it done, like last year.
I have actually been calling for Colorado to with the Big 12 North, if you had been paying attention...
I am starting to believe I have underestimated Missouri, but time will tell.
No, I won't elaborate further...
USC is the most over-rated team on this list in my opinion. Kevin, you pointed out that there are question marks. This program is no longer a "dynasty," but still a power. They will likely be humbled by ASU and/or Oregon this year.
Ohio State is really a dice roll. They don't have as much returning talent as most would say but they are still stacked relative to the rest of the Big 10. I'm going to go ahead and say that this is OSU's year. They will roll through the Big 10 again, go the NC, actually not be the dominant favorite, and make the "third times a charm" newspaper heading.
OU will not get to coast like OSU will. The Big 12 is exceptionally strong this year. Don't be surprised if TT is the real deal. Between TT, Mizzou, OU, and Texas, it's going to be a dogfight.
UF likely is the most over-rated team on this top 5 list. However, the gators have great potential to prove doubters wrong. The offense should be solid with returning the Hesiman and a stronger backfield.
Overall, don't be surprised if the dogfights in the power conferences like the SEC, Big 12, and Pac 10 leave room for teams from the ACC and BE to creep up the rankings quickly. Watch out for Clemson and WVU.
Keep your eye on . . . . Oregon, ASU, Wisconsin, UConn, and Wake Forest
If this year's Buckeye team will fail to make a play or complete a pass because OSU didn't beat Tennessee in the 90s or Alabama in the 70s, then there may be some relevance to the "0-9 against the SEC in bowls" record. Otherwise, last year's NC game is the only one with a significant number of players from this year's team if the experience factor is ignored.
And while I'm venting, I believe the Big Ten will be a much better conference this year after the coaching turnovers of the last few years. They should be better in bowl games although I'll never expect the Big Ten to match the SEC in that department. The SEC played all nine of their bowl games last year in the south, and they make sure they lock up as many contractural ties to southern venues as they can. The Big Ten played five of their eight bowls in the home state of their opponents. I don't expect this to change, but if there ever is a playoff system, the games should be played all over the country and the home-turf advantage removed.
OK, I'm done and I feel better. Thanks. I do want to throw in a prediction that ASU will beat Georgia. I'm not convinced the SEC can travel.
USC - overated for once, will lose at least 2 PAC10 games
OSU - will probably make it back to MNCG. and lose again.
UF - overrated, again. will lose at least 2 SEC games.
OU - overrated, again. will lose at least 2 BigXII games.
Watch out for:
Auburn - if they beat LSU in Auburn, they could win the SEC.
LSU - if they beat AU in Auburn, they could win the SEC.
ASU - if they beat USC, will win PAC10 and play for MNC.
Illinois - could be back in Rose Bowl
Miami - laugh now, could easily win ACC, slip into MNC.
2) USC needs to find cohesion quickly. As usual, they possess a great deal of talent, but they still have a lot of question marks.
3) OSU appears to be better than they were in the last two years. Playing the early game against USC will help to remove that SOS monkey from their collective backs. Beat USC, and the Buckeyes sail to the BCS title game (again).
4) OU I don't have a clear read on. They look very strong this year, but a lot of Big-12 teams are looking strong this year. I'll need to watch them play before getting behind their national title hopes.
5) UF will probably have the best offense they have ever fielded this year and - in all likelihood - the second worst defense they've ever fielded (second only to last year's Gator defense). The line looks vastly improved, but the secondary looks only marginally better. The Gators one saving grace might be the lack of experienced quarterbacks in the SEC (other than UF and UGA). I'm hopeful, but skeptical (as usual).
Florida Georgia
2002 - ( 8-5) ranked 24th USA 2002- (13-1) 3rd both polls
2003- (8-5) ranked 24th AP, 25th USA 2003- (11-3) 7th AP 6th USA
2004- (7-5) ranked 25th USA 2004- (10-2) 7th AP 6th USA
2005- (9-3) ranked 12th AP,16th USA 2005- (10-3) 10thAP 10th USA
2006- (13-1) ranked 1 in both polls 2006- ( 9-4) 23rd AP Unranked USA
2007- (9-4) ranked 13th AP, 16th USA 2007- (11-2) 2nd AP 3rd USA
2006 UGA beats Auburn and VT, but loses to KY and Vanderbilt
2007 UGA beats UF and Auburn, but loses to USC and Tenn (by 21)
"Consistent" means playing to your team's talent level every game. UGA is playing to the talent level of their opponoents. That's inconsistent.
Maybe UGA will make it to the BCSCG on Moreno's legs. Maybe a good defense (e.g. Auburn, LSU, Tenn) will shut down UGA's ground game and the inefficiency of the passing game will be their downfall. I don't know, but I do know that the name of this thread refers to the "warts" on the top 5 teams and (IMHO) UGA has been inconsistent the last couple of years.
We struggled early, then improved.
Funny, that sure sounds like a fine example of inconsistency to me, but I must be wrong. Us techno-geeks don't no english to goodly.
"Consistent" means playing to your team's TALENT LEVEL EVERY GAME. UGA is playing to the talent level of their opponoents. That's inconsistent."
YOU MISSPELLED OPPONENTS BY THE WAY. Since your so into perfection.
I'm sorry for questioning your comments, you should know consistency. Consistency is losing in September, twice in October and once in January. That is dang consistent.
FWIW, I tend to agree with your suggestion that UF was inconsistent last year. IMO, they lost to two superior teams (LSU and UGA) and two inferior teams (Michigan and Auburn - sorry WEA!) who were better prepared on game day. All four losses can be traced to defensive failures which is exactly what I mentioned in my post above.
Now go to bed, little man. It's time for the adults to talk some football.
I'm from Denham Springs, myself...
How did you find out about Kevin's little corner of the college football universe?
Came across Fanblogs some time ago - 2002?3? and have since had the distinct pleasure of lunching with the Kevinator and his lovely spouse (and Otter and another girl) one time whilst they were on tour in the offseason.
This place is more fun than a barrel of monkeys, ain't it?
It certainly is...
You ought to drop me an e-mail...
gary.onealjr@gmail.com
-Gary-
So, Gary...Your last name is One AL Junior? Did Nick recruit you from south Alabama, along with Jamarcus?
Ohhh... O'Neal...
:-)
I wanted to look at the warts of the current polls' top five. If I were going to venture out... now that you've invited me... I would say the lurkers are....
My Sleeper/Lurkers:
Wisconsin, Arizona State, Auburn, and (don't chuckle, because I'm seriously serious) Florida State
Good to see you back in the neighborhood. Hope all is well with clan.
I think Tennessee could be a sleeper in the SEC this year...
And there is always the transfer from USC, Emmanuel Moody, who also looked great in the Spring Game (except for a fumble in the endzone).
Gators plan to use 10-11 different players in the backfield not named Tebow. One of those is guy named Percy Harvin. Have you heard of him?
You and I both know that Florida's running game has not been that great of late. Until they do it in actual games, Spring Games do not count, the Florida running game is lacking. If Moody was a surefire cat's meow second coming of Emmitt Smith he'd still be at USC.
If speed was all that mattered then you should start a campaign for Renaldo "Skeets" Nehemiah to be inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame. Cuz he was really fast too.
It's either Georgia or West Virginia this year.
...there's talk about pulling the plug on the whole damn season....
....I'm mean, why should we even suit our guys up? We should just keep our team home to lick their wounds, and prepare for next year, right?
B/t/w: Michigan didn't really lose anyone, right?
Before last season began, I heard Coach Carr gave a pep talk about how great it would be if they could just get to the Citrus bowl, and beat UF--in order to exact revenge for the screw job from the year before, you konw?
...last year being a rebuilding year for Michigan and all....
GO GATORS!!
UF held opponents to about 13-14 ppg during the national championship season. I think you have to get under 17 (at least) to get back to NC contention. This 25+ ppg will get you back to Orlando... not Miami.
I believe they've lost two safeties, Harvin, Demps, and Rainy are nicked up at the moment. I believe they lost CI for the year due to a torn ACL. There are a couple more players they may have lost to injury on defense.
Sometimes the injury bug bites hard. However, you hate to see anyone get hurt.
UNTIL the Gators get a running game NOT named Tebow there are question marks. Just about anyone can say they looked great in the Spring Game. Hell, ND is talking smack too. The Gators have to do it on the field and until they get to the SEC schedule everything any of us say here is speculation bordering on conjecture.
The Gators also have to get rid of the taste of the sorry performance against UM before people give them the benefit of the doubt.
That being said I pull for SEC teams.
I believe the Gators will be better this year than they were last year, including the rushing game and the defense. The problem for us Gator fans is UGA will be better too.
On the basis of schedule, OK arguably has the easiest road to the NC. With the exception of TX (Played on neutral ground - See, I remembered.), OK's toughest games are at home (Cinci, TCU, KS, NE, & TX Tech), with 3 potential traps away (KS St, TX A&M, and OK St). USC is next hosting OSU, OR, ASU, Cal, & ND, with potential traps at OR St & UCLA. (I had to throw ND in there as they will be. . .ahem. . .vastly improved. Just ask their fans.)
We already know how bad GA's schedule is; FL's isn't much better. OSU's isn't a cake walk either. Remember; they visit USC, not to mention WI, MI St, & IL-one of only 2 teams to beat them last year.
On the basis of personnel, OSU gets the nod. 90% of this team has been together for 3 years. Arguably, they have the personnel & depth to get through their schedule unscathed. Trips to USC & WI will tell all. USC arguably follows. They don't have as many returning starters; they do have depth to burn. GA is a very close 3rd here, but their defense took a larger hit than USC's. OK's offense will look great, but their "D" took a bigger hit than GA's.
We already know the issues with FL's "D" (gave up too many points) and their "O" (one man show). Still, can't count em out; they did win 9 last year, after all.
If I had to rank them, it would be USC, OK, OSU, GA, FL. USC has a way of showing up for those big non-conference games. If they can prevent what has recently been uncharacteristic bone-headed losses (2 in each of the last 3 years), they're in.
OK has a favorable schedule (I didn't say easy; only favorable.). If they hold the fort and keep from stumbling on the road, they'll likely repeat as Big-12 Champs & once again enter the dance.
OSU could still stumble (It'll have to be close.) at USC. So long as that's it, they could still make the dance against either OK or USC. We could see a rematch of OSU/USC in January 2009.
GA & FL: I put them together as, in my opinion, their schedules and personnel combo's don't favor them in the least. That said, GA is the better of these 2 and should take the SEC East, if not the SEC. If GA gets through its schedule with 1 loss, it could leap-frog over a higher ranked one-loss OK, OSU, or USC into the NC game.
Others to consider (some, if they went undefeated): Auburn, ASU, BYU, Clemson, FSU, Fresno, MO, Penn St, S FL, UT, WVU, WI. Of these, Auburn, ASU, MO, & WI have the best chance. Were it not for a new QB, I would have placed Auburn at #5 over FL.
I don't make this prediction without some study. The Cocks are getting bigger, another year of solid recruiting. Mr. Spurrier has made some coaching changes, under his own terms. Good athletes, great coaching, why should a Gamecock fan take a back seat to anyone?
Yall have a good a chance as anybody and you should not waiver with your convictions of loyalty.
There are always alot of really good teams that are not given much consideration as being held in contention for national championship.2007 was a truly remarkable year in CFB and 2008 could be even more phenomenal in terms of upsets and the chances of some other teams considered darkhorses to emerge as contenders for the MNC crown.
Hookem-Horns